Why
Australian fashion brands are tanking.
Someone
recently asked SIA why so many Aussie fashion firms are struggling to survive.
Remember Covers,
Dinnigan , Colorado , Brown Sugar, Satch, Ksubi, Bettina
Liano, Lisa Ho and others.
She also
asked how firms can go into administration when they manufacture overseas? Implicit
in this comment is that manufacturing overseas is relatively cheap so profits must be healthy.
Protection
In Australia , the relevant developments began
about 10-15 years ago.
Up until
that time, Aussie firms were protected from competition in two ways.
Firstly,
there were tariffs (taxes) on imports which made those imports considerably more
expensive & encouraged the Aussie consumer to buy local. The textile, footwear and clothing industry
was the recipient of hefty tariff benefits.
Secondly
& more importantly, Australian firms were protected from competition
because:
·
Australia was geographically remote from the
ROW
·
The Australian masses did little traveling to shop overseas
·
Australia wasn’t seen as an important market
for foreign companies to supply goods to
Finally,
10-15 years ago was no internet to allow Australian consumers access to the
global market.
Internet
Then
something which would forever change the industry happened. The internet &
now social media.
It meant
Aussie consumers could now also go directly to the overseas brands to buy and
avoid, not just GST, but import duties.
Shopping
starved Australian meant that Australia has become a very important market
for foreign brands. Sites like net-a-porter
and asos report huge growth from Australia . Fast fashion like Zara, Topshop,
H&M are only the first of many to set up stores here.
So, the local
brands now have more competition. A lot more competition.
Innovation
This means
that unless they innovate, the local firms will be struggling to maintain
profits. Sales will go down and unless costs also decline, the struggle is very
real. To make it worse, its been a
discounting culture for a long time now. Stores are permanently on sale. So it
gets even harder to maintain margins.
The profit
equation is made up of sales & costs. So even if you manufacture overseas
(implying your costs are low – however that is questionable…), if you’re being
hit on the sales side, life wont be all rosy. You are still getting squeezed.
I mentioned
innovation. In this context, what is innovation?
·
Improvements in technology (online platform, social media
etc)
·
Identifying new niche markets (youth, petite, plus size,
resort etc)
·
Overhauling the supply chain so that costs reduce
·
Anything that we haven’t thought of yet that improves that
bottom line
Innovation
that the customer has seen may include the pop up store concept, spend &
saves, celebrity promotions, VIP events, ipads in change rooms, collaborations
with artists, rats on the catwalk (Ksubi) & limited edition output…
Business
issues
Australian
brands were slow to innovate – David Jones is a good example, which about a
year ago, was at the dinosaur stage with its online processes.
Australian
brands also haven’t done themselves any favours – most of the creatively
innovative brands have no idea about business & the cash flow & profit
issues that go with it. This has contributed to these businesses tanking.
There is no
point in making fabulous clothes if your suppliers are unreliable & you
cant deliver the finished product on time to the stores.
There is no
point in making fabulous clothes if the extravagant marketing events you host
are blowing the bottom line.
There is no
point in making fabulous clothes of your computer system keeps glitching &
you cant view what is selling on a daily basis – let alone on line shopping
glitches.
In summary,
the business and IT issues may be boring, but absolutely necessary.
Our Aussie
brands have been slow to appreciate this. Part of it is that these brands
started small & their growth has taken them by surprise. Even Dion Lee was
recently quoted with saying people expect him to have a marketing department
& a production department and an accounts department. And all it is, is him
& a few assistants.
I am not
suggesting they need to know the business side – but they need to hire someone
who understand business the business issues.
The ones
growing really fast are a sign of danger ahead. Fast growth tends to mean debt
funding. When times get tough and you cant service your debt, the problems
begin.
Collette
bowed out without debt. Every other brand which has closed had debt & loads
of it. Which means they has cash flow/profit issues & that means either not
selling enough and/or costs are too high – despite the fabulous merchandise.
The $A
You cant
have a discussion like this without mentioning the $A. For anyone importing or
exporting anything, the dollar is important.
Apart from
the GFC, the overall trend has been for the $A to increase in value over the
last 10+ years. Yes its gone down in the last few months, but overall the trend
has been upwards. Strong dollar means exports are cheaper and imports are more
expensive. When you manufacture overseas
& buy product overseas, no guesses what the upward dollar will do to your
bottom line. There is a possibility that some of these firms were hedging
against movements in the dollar, but the way I understand it, the majority of
them, being small players, were not.
Costs
On the
costs side, a number of factors are worth mentioning.
Take cotton
for example – prices are at their highest at the moment. In fact the market has
been quite unstable & at times over the last few years, the cotton price
has doubled. That’s why brands are
looking at substitutes, namely rayon.
Made in China
As a
location to manufacture, as the standards of living in China have gone up over the last 20
years, the cost of manufacturing has also gone up. Firms have been looking at other alternatives
for the last 10 years at least….Vietnam, India , Indonesia . This is a huge & costly
exercise to change factories and go to a whole different country. This is one
of the “supply chain” changes I always prattle on about.
GFC/Asian
flue virus etc
Factors like
GFC (2007/2008), Asian flu virus (early 2000) and 9/11 are all factors which
caused demand to contract as people became more cautious with their
spending. It caused Aussie firms to pull
in the reins (eg: closing overseas stores) but these issues still had a
negative impact overall given the wobbly business expertise.
Summary – skip reading the above, this is the 5 second version
1. Ten years
ago. the internet freed Australian consumers from the stronghold which Aussie
fashion firms had as a result of Australia ’s geographic isolation.
2. Competition (from international brands) sky rocketed & Aussie brand sales went wobbly.
3. Further, the Aussie firms were slow to innovate to keep up with the issues being faced.
2. Competition (from international brands) sky rocketed & Aussie brand sales went wobbly.
3. Further, the Aussie firms were slow to innovate to keep up with the issues being faced.
4. Despite the
fabulous merchandise, the business side was neglected. Tanking was inevitable
for a lot of these firms especially those (most) funded with debt.
No comments:
Post a Comment